Marketing Conversion Prediction
Who is likely to subscribe?
A classification project examining bank campaign subscriptions—and what happens when customer response patterns change over time.
- Logistic regression & random forest comparison
- Chronological evaluation & leakage prevention
- Model interpretation & business recommendations
Evaluation notes
The final evaluation showed limited discrimination (ROC AUC 0.538). Subscription rates changed substantially across chronological splits. The final holdout block had been examined earlier; it is not a new independent test. These findings inform further validation before operational use.

Real public data · documented source
A model’s context matters as much as its score.